Water GenbuTier 1
at PTM 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.2%
avg ELO -4.7 per match
expected value
55.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280
· median 1280
· range 1150–1409
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1161
Q3 1424
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.2% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 62.9% | +8.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Fractal | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Water Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
